The Chiefs come Around Mile High on Thursday to take on the Denver Broncos.
Kansas City, using an ATS record of 3-3 and a record of 4-2, encounter this one after two consecutive losses to conference opponents. The Broncos on the flip side, coming off two straight wins versus AFC opponents and are riding high. The Broncos sit at 2-4, and are also 3-3 ATS so far this year. The loss of Denver linebacker Bradley Chubb may have really galvanized this group. Head coach Vic Fangio finally has a grip on this Denver defense which is currently rated the #7 shield in the league as per my defensive power evaluations (through SparkSports.ca).
In terms of the Chiefs, their defense has seen. Kansas City’s defense has allowed an average of 406.2 metres per game and 24 points against per game. I have them ranked as the defense in the league. The Chiefs defensive battles aren’t their only problem as well, the Chiefs’ offense has struggled to become anything greater than vanilla in their previous games. The defensive line of kansas City hasn’t been in a position to safeguard Patrick Mahomes and due to this – we are currently seeing a lot of back and off balance cries foot efforts. The Chiefs offense may have finally return down to earth after an entire season of being viewed as the soccer equivalent to the Golden State Warriors. It seems now, they are the Houston Rockets.
The overall consensus have the Chiefs as approximately 3pts better than the Broncos on the street. Based on my statistics, my ability ratings possess the Broncos as 9pts better than the Chiefs. Outright, I guess this match can be won by Denver. This line started as Denver +4.5 and money has come in on the Broncos and has since moved it to Broncos +3. I wish I was able to get in on that +4.5 or even +4 or perhaps +3.5, however I missed the boat. I jumped while I had the opportunity, believing that cash would last to come in on Denver. That hasn’t been the situation. As a reader, even if you can hold off to the Broncos +3 and track online movement. I’d jump onto Denver +3.5 as soon as you see purchase back come in around the Chiefs. Either way, I really like the Broncos here.
Present Line: Denver +3 (-107 via Pinnacle)
Eyeing: Denver +3.5 (-110)
Bet: Denver +3 (-110 through Bet365)
1pm EST, Sunday October 20th
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
The Houston Texans and the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday visit with in Lucas Oil Field. The Texans come into an ATS record of 4-2, and this one with a 4-2 record. The Colts have been 3-2 with an ATS record of 3-1-1. Deshaun Watson has played in his first six matches of this year. Watson includes a completion percentage of 69.7%, throwing for 1644 yards, together with 12 touchdowns and 3 interceptions.
The Colts’ Jacoby Brissett has played well, as the Colts are still move forward from Andrew Luck’s shock retirement. Jacoby Brissett has a completion percentage of 64.7percent, but he’s thrown for 1062 yards with 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. Even the Colts’ offensive line has been the highlight of their season, however – their defense’s functionality will be what makes or breaks them in this game.
Houston QB Deshaun Watson has taken the number of sacks in the NFL because coming into the league, when he’s sacked – when he remains on his toes – . It is that simple. Shield Deshaun Watson, and then the Texans offensive line needs to maintain the Colts defense . I expect the Texans to win this game, if they’re able to do this. My defensive power evaluations have the Texans as the #15 defense in the league, averaging 22.4 points a game against. Directly underneath the Texans is that the Colts, who I’ve since the #16 defense in the league; permitting 23.1 points per match against.
The general consensus, from the power evaluations that are popular have the Texans as approximately 1pt superior compared to the Colts in the road. However, according to my numbers – that the Colts should be around 2pts better at home than the Texans. This line started at Colts -2.5 and moved up to Texans -1, and it has now swung back into Colts -1. This is only one of the plays where I am likely to have proceed against my own numbers, and to side with the heads. I like the Texans here. The make or break deciding element for me is going to be this, Houston has the league greatest red zone scoring portion using 71.43%. In addition, the Texans lead the team in third down conversion percentage. As for the Colts, they rank 30th in red zone percentage and are rated 27th in competition third down conversion percentage. I believe that the Texans will be able to score when it matters more, If it boils down to this. Give the Texans to me.
Current Line: Texans +1 (-104 via Pinnacle)
Bet: Texans pk (-110 via Bet365)
1PM EST, Sunday October 20th
Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
The 4-2 Minnesota Vikings will travel to Detroit to carry on Sunday afternoon. The Vikings come into this one as the only team from the NFL to perform six matches without a change. Whichever group has scored first, has won the match, in each game they’ve played with this year. The key to this game for the Vikings will be evident – begin this game fast and to come out blazing. Based on my amounts, Minnesota gets the shield in the league. The Vikings have only permitted 15.5pts per game against and just 310 metres per match against. In terms of Detroit, I’ve got them rated as the 18 defensive team in the NFL.
The Lions have let 23.6 pts per match against, also 413 yards per game against. The popular consensus power evaluations place out this week possess the Vikings as approximately 2.5pts greater compared to Detroit on the street. My power evaluations has the gap between these two teams as broader. Detroit on the Street has not Minnesota as approximately 5pts than me. This line started as a select em and has only transferred to Detroit being +1.5 underdogs. With the Vikings only giving -1.5pts, I believe there is a whole lot of worth on Minnesota here. It’ll be on my own card come Sunday.
Present Line: Minnesota -1 (-116 via Pinnacle)
Purchase: Minnesota -1 (-110 through Bet365)
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