The 2019 Food City 500 occurs on Sunday at legendary Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag falls at two p.m. ET, and every corner counts due to the tight, steeply-banked track where death is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin grabbed his next success of the 2019 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He’s got a win at Bristol under his belt and can be recorded at 14-1 to win in the latest 2019 Food City 500 odds. However, there are six drivers using 2019 NASCAR at Bristol chances better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is the preferred followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you create your 2019 Food City 500 picks, see the NASCAR in Bristol predictions in the proven computer version at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track history and current results into account.

The model is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano in its projected top . It was also all over Kyle Busch as a leading contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of those motorists at McClure’s top five went to top-five finishes in the Automobile Club 400. Anybody who has followed its selections is way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. His version mimicked the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For Sunday, we can tell you the model is high on Kurt Busch, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite going off as a very long shot at 14-1 NASCAR at Bristol odds.

Busch is a six-time winner in Bristol Motor Speedway and only his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins at this track among busy NASCAR drivers. This includes a victory last August at the NASCAR at Bristol race for his 30th career success in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion fought his way into the front of the pack from the ninth starting position in that race also has also already come from the 27th and 13th starting positions to succeed at Bristol. He beat Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR visited Bristol and certainly will again start 27th on Sunday. He is off to a hot start this year also, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second at the Clash at Daytona and third in Atlanta.

And a massive shocker: Ryan Blaney, one of the best Vegas favorites at 12-1, does not crack the top five. There are far better values than the 12-1 premium he is commanding.

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