The game of soccer can be made to appear very intricate. How a lot of people can really specify a”West Coast offense?” Just how many can correctly recognize a”zone blitz,” or a”nickel” or”dime” defense?
NFL analysts at the media have quick answers to each of these questions. They’ve a list of each player and his album at their fingertips. They have staff-written replicate on hand to describe all kinds of game strategies. They have arrays of data.
Due to the networking, pro soccer is a sport of virtually no hidden information. But, it is 1 thing to describe an event that is already over. It is something different entirely to try to predict that which has yet to happen.
When the press try to predict game results, they tend to do poorly. To give just a couple of examples from New York City, where I live, every Friday twenty five New York Post writers make predictions on NFL games against the spread. I’ve never seen one of these handicappers consistently pick the 52.4% winners needed to conquer the 11-to-10 chances sports bettors should give. In reality, virtually every year for the last twenty years that the consensus in the Article has finished below 50 percent.
Among those Post handicappers often mentions trends in his handicapping analysis–how teams do on grass or turf, as favorites or underdogs, etc.. But trends are for the most part useless nowadays because teams change so quickly due to free agency. What does it matter if a staff is 12-and-4 on street turf over the last five years if only three of its players have been there that long?
On the radio, WFAN commentators also make predictions every Friday. However they also have seldom picked the 52.4 percentage winners needed to conquer the 11-to-10. To pay this, they often talk about their documents in regard to the .500 mark. The vig seems not to exist in the world of WFAN.
And on television, ESPN’s Hank Goldberg has conquered the 11-to-10 in just one of the seven years he’s been there.
From personal experience, I have discovered that many TV manufacturers and newspaper editors see sports as entertainment instead of serious journalism. That is why you, as a serious handicapper, ought to take all media predictions using a big grain of salt.