The Coca-Cola 600 will get underway at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday on FOX, with Kyle Busch as the clear favorite (+250 gambling odds).
Kevin Harvick (+600) and Martin Truex Jr. (+600) are not too far behind in what will be the longest race of this year.
Nick Giffen utilizes his statistical model to handicap the four best futures values from the race.
For the second successive weekend, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing in Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). But this time rather than an All-Star shootout, motorists are in for a grueling 600 miles from the Cup Series‘ longest race of the year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oval with a relatively old surface which has been repaved back in 2006. We saw in the All-Star race which tires failed to make a difference and track position was also extremely significant, so this race should offer a great mix of multiple 1.5-mile tracks.
The most recent 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race in Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five in typical green-flag rate all showed up in the top nine at 15-lap rate in Happy Hour, despite the race being during the nighttime and final practice during the day.
We’ve got a similar scenario at Charlotte this weekend, so I’ll certainly rely on long-haul pace along with 1.5-mile performance this year and past Charlotte oval functionality when handicapping the race.
Equipped with these data points, let’s get right into my four favorite bets to win tonight’s race, plus bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A quick primer about the odds below: A $100 wager at +375 odds would gain $375, while a $200 wager at -200 chances would cover $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Win
Kyle Busch is your preferred as a result of his outstanding rate in Happy Hour and three wins to Harvick’s zero wins this season. However, it might be argued that Harvick ought to be a co-favorite despite finishing only 13th on the 10-lap board in final practice.
That is because in opening training, he was much better relative to the rest of the field over 10 consecutive laps. His fifth-place time during the warmer temperatures is encouraging. In fact, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers stated the cars are really sensitive to monitor changes, and that they were really good in opening clinic throughout the cooler temperatures.
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