The Coca-Cola 600 will get underway in 6 pm ET on Sunday on FOX, with Kyle Busch as the clear favorite (+250 betting odds).
Kevin Harvick (+600) and Martin Truex Jr. (+600) are not too far behind in what’s going to be the greatest race of the year.
Nick Giffen uses his statistical model to handicap that the four greatest futures values in the race.
For the second consecutive weekend, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing at Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). But this time instead of an All-Star shootout, motorists are in for a grueling 600 miles in the Cup Series’ longest race of this year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oblong with a comparatively old surface which has been repaved back in 2006. We saw from the All-Star race which tires did make a difference and track position was also extremely important, so this race ought to offer a good blend of multiple 1.5-mile tracks.
The latest 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race in Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five in average green-flag rate all showed up in the top nine in 15-lap speed in Happy Hour, despite the race being during the nighttime and final practice throughout the day.
We have a similar scenario at Charlotte this weekend, so I will certainly rely on long-haul pace in addition to 1.5-mile performance this season and past Charlotte oval performance when handicapping the race.
Armed with all these data points, let us get right into my four favorite bets to win tonight’s race, also bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A quick primer on the chances below: A $100 bet at +375 odds would gain $375, while a $200 bet at -200 odds would pay out $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Win
Kyle Busch is your favorite thanks to his outstanding rate in Happy Hour and three wins to Harvick’s zero wins this year. However, it could be argued that Harvick should be a co-favorite despite finishing only 13th on the 10-lap board in closing practice.
That’s because in opening practice, he was much better relative to the rest of the area over 10 consecutive laps. His fifth-place time throughout the warmer temperatures is encouraging. Actually, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers said the cars are extremely sensitive to monitor changes, and that they were really good in opening practice throughout the warmer temperatures.
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