The Coca-Cola 600 will get underway at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday on FOX, with Kyle Busch as the clear favorite (+250 betting odds).
Kevin Harvick (+600) and Martin Truex Jr. (+600) aren’t too far behind in what will be the greatest race of this year.
Nick Giffen utilizes his statistical model to handicap the four best futures values from the race.
For the second consecutive weekend, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing at Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). However, this time rather than an All-Star shootout, motorists are in for a grueling 600 miles in the Cup Series‘ longest race of this year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oval with a relatively old surface that has been repaved back in 2006. We saw from the All-Star race which tires failed to make a difference and track position was also extremely important, therefore this race should provide a good blend of numerous 1.5-mile tracks.
The most recent 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race at Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five in typical green-flag rate all showed up in the top nine at 15-lap speed in Happy Hour, regardless of the race being during the night and final practice throughout the day.
We have a similar situation at Charlotte this weekend, so I’ll certainly rely on long-haul pace in addition to 1.5-mile performance this season and beyond Charlotte oval functionality when handicapping the race.
Equipped with all these data points, let’s get right to my favorite bets to win tonight’s race, also bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A fast primer about the chances under: A $100 bet at +375 chances would profit $375, while a $200 wager at -200 odds would cover $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Acquire
Kyle Busch is your preferred as a result of his outstanding rate in Happy Hour and three wins to Harvick’s zero wins this year. But, it could be argued that Harvick ought to be a co-favorite despite finishing only 13th on the 10-lap plank in final practice.
That is because in opening practice, he had been considerably better relative to the remainder of the field over 10 consecutive laps. His fifth-place time throughout the warmer temperatures is encouraging. In fact, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers said the cars are extremely sensitive to track changes, and that they were really good in opening clinic during the warmer temperatures.
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