The Coca-Cola 600 will get underway at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday on FOX, with Kyle Busch as the clear favorite (+250 gambling odds).
Kevin Harvick (+600) and Martin Truex Jr. (+600) are not too far behind in what will be the greatest race of this year.
Nick Giffen uses his statistical model to disability the four best futures values in the race.
For the second successive weekend, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing at Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). However, this time instead of an All-Star shootout, drivers are in for a grueling 600 miles from the Cup Series‘ longest race of this year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oval having a relatively old surface that was repaved back in 2006. We saw from the All-Star race that tires did make a difference and that track position was also extremely significant, therefore this race ought to offer a good blend of multiple 1.5-mile tracks.
The most recent 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race at Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five at average green-flag rate all showed up at the top nine at 15-lap rate in Happy Hour, despite the race being during the night and last practice during the day.
We have a similar scenario at Charlotte this weekend, so I’ll surely rely on long-haul pace in addition to 1.5-mile performance this season and beyond Charlotte oval performance when handicapping the race.
Armed with these data points, let’s get right to my four favorite bets to win tonight’s race, also bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A quick primer on the chances below: A $100 wager at +375 chances would gain $375, while a $200 wager at -200 chances would pay out $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Win
Kyle Busch is your favorite as a result of his outstanding rate in Happy Hour and three wins to Harvick’s zero wins this year. However, it might be claimed that Harvick should be a co-favorite despite completing only 13th on the 10-lap plank in final practice.
That’s because in opening practice, he was much better relative to the remainder of the area over 10 consecutive laps. His fifth-place time throughout the cooler temperatures is reassuring. Actually, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers stated the cars are really sensitive to track changes, and that they were really great in opening clinic throughout the warmer temperatures.
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